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Romney internal polls mystery deepens after New Republic report
Philly.com (Inquirer and Daily News) ^ | 11/30/2012 | Scott Bomboy

Posted on 12/01/2012 6:40:57 AM PST by dirtboy

It may take election experts years to unravel the mystery of why Mitt Romney was convinced he had won the 2012 presidential election, as a new report shows some skewed internal poll numbers, and explains Romney’s two trips to Pennsylvania.

But at the same time, the article from The New Republic’s Noam Scheiber shows inconsistencies with reports from November 5 and November 6 about the numbers that might have convinced Romney and his team that he had a good chance of beating President Obama in Ohio.

Obama’s resounding win is starting to take on more of a resemblance to Harry Truman’s “upset” in 1948, with Romney playing the role of Thomas Dewey.

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Obama wound up with 332 electoral votes, taking every swing state except North Carolina. Somehow, the Romney campaign was seemingly convinced that he would win one of the final three swing states, or make a strong showing in Pennsylvania.

[snip]

The conclusion is that Romney, based on his internal polls, thought he had at least 267 out of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the election, and the election would be decided in four states: Ohio, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Nevada

(Excerpt) Read more at philly.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012electionanalysis; 2012polls; bananarepublic; coup; coupdetat; deluded; delusion; delusionofgrandure; electionstealing; fraud; gope; incompetent; paranoia; paranoidfantasy; romney; somuch4managermitt; tinfoilhats; unelectable; voterfraud
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To: dirtboy

Romney got fleeced by his pollens and consultants .


41 posted on 12/01/2012 8:25:19 AM PST by tennmountainman
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To: xzins
He did not steal the election.

Yes he did. With over 70,000 "irregularities," it's hard to be intellectually honest and yet deny that the election was stolen.

What you said about Romney being a terrible candidate is true. But it is also non sequitur. Your argument is a false dichotomy. Face it - there was vote fraud on a massive scale in the swing states, and it allowed Obama to steal a second term, regardless of the quality of the GOP candidate.

42 posted on 12/01/2012 8:25:33 AM PST by Yashcheritsiy (Let it burn down)
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To: buckalfa

“Team Obama, blending Alinsky and Chicago thug tactics played the game to win.”
**********
And that is a fundamental truth that Republicans just can’t seem to grasp. The Dems are vicious adversaries. You have to not only beat them — you also have to contend with their attack dogs in the media.

To achieve victory, you HAVE to be stronger than your opponent(s) to win. You don’t score points playing defense all the time.


43 posted on 12/01/2012 8:29:09 AM PST by Starboard
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To: Starboard

Love your post.

So true:

“All the logic in the world won’t change peoples’ minds; only the experience of pain will, as it so often does in our personal lives.”


44 posted on 12/01/2012 8:30:03 AM PST by Individual Rights in NJ (Let's settle somewhere new?~ I'm thinking places people call "blue".)
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To: dirtboy

The Dems simply out shoe-leathered and out-financed us. One account is of Dems going to a home for the retarded, registering every inmate, and then “helping” them with their absentee ballots. The Dems’ so-far unbeatable resource is their system for using tax money and (extorted) union money to fund an almost unlimited voting effort. We may be seeing an unbeatable Liberal voting machine for the next century unless we counter it somehow.


45 posted on 12/01/2012 8:30:08 AM PST by pabianice (washington, dc ..)
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To: xzins

First I recall you were telling people not to vote for Romney
On this website and now your trying to dismiss all the voter fraud !
Your a Paulbot too !
Romney lost by 300,000 in four states !
You can not ignore or dismiss the facts that Obama stopped the voter Id laws in two key swing states and kept early voting going non stop in two other states for one reason !
To steal it !
Team Obama are Daley machine front men !
Ex Mayor Daley ‘s brother was running the campaign from Chicago !
The same guy who tried to steal the 2000 election for Gore !


46 posted on 12/01/2012 8:34:34 AM PST by ncalburt (Axelrod Psych OPS has gone to 24/7 non stop - "The election is over " status until Nov)
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To: pabianice

That’s an interesting example:

A lib would have no problem exploiting a person with disabilities, in “helping” them fill out a form for a Dem, because in their true corrupted soul, they don’t see anything wrong with doing something like that. They TRULY believe that a Dem vote is a vote for that person’s best interest, so it removes the natural moral guilt that a normal human would have in exploiting a disabled person for political gain and self-interest like that. Couple that with the fact the Dems have no morals in the first place in most of their numbers, and it makes a move like that very easy.

I know I, and I believe almost all conservatives, could never think of doing something like that simply under the principle I would feel like the biggest dirt-bag in history for making anyone vote for something, someone, who the person really doesn’t understand what they are doing and myself fully knowing my action would be purely a scheme of self-interest and manipulation. I mean doing something like that is lower than low.


47 posted on 12/01/2012 8:40:31 AM PST by Individual Rights in NJ (Let's settle somewhere new?~ I'm thinking places people call "blue".)
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To: Individual Rights in NJ

Thank you. There’s something in human nature that makes us resistant to logic. The only thing that causes us to change our ways is pain and fear, usually in the form of what’s often referred to as “life altering events”.

I’m not a complete doomsayer but IMHO the nation is headed toward an economic calamity and it will cause a great upheavel and social “unrest”. A little restoration of sanity may come out of it when we get proof positive that unsustainable spending has real consequences.


48 posted on 12/01/2012 8:41:20 AM PST by Starboard
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To: ncalburt; xzins
You are, of course, correct. How bad Romney was is irrelevant - the election was stolen. I hate to say it, but xzins has a vested interest in denying this because he thinks it gives him justification to play the "told you so" card, like we all should have voted for Virgil Goode instead of Romney (Goode would also have lost, either from splitting the Right vote, or else to vote fraud as well).

I analysed the election is some detail recently here. There's a reason Romney, as well as a lot of others, thought that he would win. It's because the polling and the indicators were saying he would. The only polling that had Obama ahead consistently was the MSM polling, and those that rely on it derivatively (like RealClearPolitics). I would argue that the only reason the MSM polling seemed to be correct is because it coincidentally agreed with the post-election fraudulent results. If vote fraud had not been seen on the massive scale it was this time around, the MSM polling would have been as wrong as it usually is, and the professional polling houses would have been right as usual.

49 posted on 12/01/2012 8:41:28 AM PST by Yashcheritsiy (Let it burn down)
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To: dirtboy

No mystery at all.

RINO’S HAVE THEIR COLLECTIVE HEAD UP THEIR COLLECTIVE BUTT!


50 posted on 12/01/2012 8:41:39 AM PST by prisoner6 (Right Wing Nuts bolt the Constitution together as the loose screws of the Left fall out!)
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To: Vaquero

You’d have to be braindead not to see the differences in the policies espoused by Romeny and Obama. Sorry, the “lack of choice” holds absolutely no water and is a total cop-out. Well, I’m not really sorry. It is what it is.


51 posted on 12/01/2012 8:43:07 AM PST by CaspersGh0sts
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To: jameslalor

I don’t agree, but I suppose it depends on how one defines voter fraud. I do agree that a number of things led to this outcome, and turnout on our side and in the middle needed to be higher. I do think the democrats use the combination of early voting, absentee and loose ID laws to get more votes. I do believe they create registered voters that so not exist and use them to create extra votes. I do believe they provide financial incentives to get people to go to early voting in the big cities. There is plenty of evidence and also lots of anecdotal evidence. Does anyone believe that pockets of Philadelphia, Cleveland, and south Florida have essentially 100% turnouts when the rest of the country does not. Are those area made up of more highly motivated, independent people or are those areas filled with preoe with a lack of motivation and work ethic. Why would people who don’t have work ethic have near unanimous response once every four years. It could be simple get out the vote, but I have a hard time believing after four years of the worst economy of any ones lifetime that they had more motivation to get out to the polls normal. Doesn’t pass the smell test.

I agree. We can’t simply blow off this loss as ‘stolen’ because we have to present a winning platform and candidates to get the votes, and I fully see where Romney was a bad choice and didn’t win the votes he should have. I won’t dismiss the ability for the dems to get their vote out in ways that simply don’t match with their record or campaign message.


52 posted on 12/01/2012 8:44:32 AM PST by ilgipper (Obama supporters are comprised of the uninformed & the ill-informed)
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To: Anima Mundi
In six years Romney had more than enough time to refine and deliver a message forcefully. His record in business is of someone who strips opponents to the bone and lets their bloody skeletons drop to the floor with a clatter. I believe he was undone by his team, whether on purpose or not. Look. Romney ran a terrible campaign and still came within several points of winning the popular vote. He lost the EC big-time because he was out-hustled by the Obama thugs machine that went out and found every drunk, lunatic, and government suck and got their votes. Their efforts in the swing states were awesome. They have unlimited money thanks to union thuggery and government sponsorships -- money we have allowed them to get and keep coming. Republicans contented themselves with great-sounding rallies of people who already hated Obama.

Republicans, BAL, do not fight and by that right should cease to exist. Democrats, quite literally, will rob, maim, steal, cheat, and extort to win. In all fairness, then, shouldn't they?

53 posted on 12/01/2012 8:48:05 AM PST by pabianice (washington, dc ..)
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To: dirtboy
It may take election experts years to unravel the mystery of why Mitt Romney was convinced he had won the 2012 presidential election ...

Was he, though? If you want to run, you have to keep your hopes up. You can't walk around day after day assuming you're going to lose.

But that story that Romney only wrote one speech, assuming he'd win, is questionable to say the least. When Romney had finished his victory speech a reporter asked him if he'd written a concession speech.

Romney said that he'd only written one speech at that point. Somehow this gets translated into the idea that no concession speech was prepared, which is unlikely.

54 posted on 12/01/2012 8:49:07 AM PST by x
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To: Starboard

I agree with you. I’m not happy about my family’s personal prospects during the expected calamitous time though.

We’re in Manhattan now, and will be in the NJ burbs starting in July for at least 2 years.

I’ve convinced the wife to move to Texas in one of the burbs north of Irving after 2 years (we are having our first child in April this year and want family support for the first 2 years- which means sticking around in NJ), since my company HQ is there and I can easily transfer from the NYC office to that one. She actually was excited about the house size and town quality we could afford there versus in these elite NJ burbs we grew up in.

I’ve got a good low six-figure gig, but with the son coming and only a few grand in savings (no debt though!), I’m sure to be hit extremely hard by this regime’s stupid policies and our country’s poor decisions in general.

Oh well, what can you do but hunker down? I also feel constantly stupid by never having any debt, when it seems debt really means nothing at all. All my peers have tons and tons of it, and it doesn’t seem to impact their daily life one bit. I just can’t mentally deal with owing someone money, even if it is a bank. I pay all my credit cards at the end of the month in full. I feel like owing money is a form of slavery and since I read so much history I’m well aware for a long period of time debtors prison was the norm.


55 posted on 12/01/2012 8:51:29 AM PST by Individual Rights in NJ (Let's settle somewhere new?~ I'm thinking places people call "blue".)
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To: jameslalor
Actually, the GOP vote has been increasing for 20 years:
1996   Dole     37,816,307
2000   Bush     50,459,211
2004   Bush     59,130,092
2008   McCain   59,948,323
2012   Romney   60,265,579

56 posted on 12/01/2012 8:54:45 AM PST by wildandcrazyrussian
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To: CaspersGh0sts

I agree. That is why I held my nose and voted for our terrible standard bearer. But I can see people not voting at all. Especially those who dont understand what zer0bama stands for.

Romney sucked big time and people stayed home. Just a fact we have to think about. And possibly think about replacing the worn out Republican Party with a viable one.


57 posted on 12/01/2012 8:57:04 AM PST by Vaquero (Don't pick a fight with an old guy. If he is too old to fight, he'll just kill you.)
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To: Yashcheritsiy

There is no evidence of vote fraud that would stand up in court, Yash. Therefore, there is no evidence.

And it does relate to the candidate, Romney. If there were demonstrable evidence of vote fraud, the point man for that protest would.....Romney.

Assume you’re right for a moment. Where is the Golden Boy? (Hint: he’s STILL not fighting your cause.)


58 posted on 12/01/2012 8:58:25 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True supporters of our troops pray for their victory!)
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To: wildandcrazyrussian

Did you factor in population increases in that time period


59 posted on 12/01/2012 8:59:16 AM PST by Vaquero (Don't pick a fight with an old guy. If he is too old to fight, he'll just kill you.)
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To: ncalburt

There is no reason to commit fraud in a black precinct, ncal.

I’ve been a Romney opponent all along, and I put my X next to his name on the ballot because of Obama killing people at Benghazi. Even Romney wouldn’t be that anti-life.

So, you’re going to defend Romney as a great candidate???

Be my guest.


60 posted on 12/01/2012 9:01:26 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True supporters of our troops pray for their victory!)
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