I understand that but that's largely because Obama got something like 5% less turnout. Which means he doesn't have a whole lot of political capital to make mistakes now.
But I believe Romney won more votes than McCain did last time around.
you are right about the Romney vote.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/lv?key=0AjYj9mXElO_QdHpla01oWE1jOFZRbnhJZkZpVFNKeVE&toomany=true
This is a good place to follow it. There’s supposed to be a better one on the Cook report, but I don’t see why anyone needs more than this for this type of discussion.
This is a great place for historical statistics
http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/