“Gallup campaign polls were the MOST in error.”
Yes, they were +5 in the Republican’s favor. A fact that you mysteriously left out...
Anyways, since we’ve twice dismissed polls showing our side losing, maybe we’d better start paying attention to polls to tell us stuff we don’t want to hear.
Could be ANOTHER minority group already knew about the value of always answering polls....... well, anyway, they'd be a larger group than the gays and that crowd wouldn't they. If we stipulate GBLT at .34% of the total population, that gives us 1.08 million potential targets ~ so to get 5%, which is 15 times as big as .34%, we'd need a body with about 16 million adults.
LDS only claims about 6 million adult members and other bodies claim LDS is about 4.4 million ~ so, if it were simply Mormons onto the game and boosting Republican responses you'd need another 11 million folks somewhere ~ so, where are they?
How about multi-line service. I have a number, my spouse has a number, the house has a number ~ actually vonage gives us a fourth number.
I'm not even a mormon, but that's an average of 2 lines each ~ but then there are the kids ~ and their spouses. Got at least 20 of them there!
The chance of us getting called are immense! So, anyone know how many telephone numbers each adult Mormon uses?
I suspect there's another source ~ as well as that one!
This year virtually all the pollsters gave up simply reporting the data as they received it by calling people and began filtering it with OTHER information ~
In doing that they managed to destroy whatever value random sampling lent to any polls ~
I would have rather counted pigeon droppings on sidewalks ~ truly a random array ~ than accept any of these polls without a lot more information about them than any of the pollsters would tell us.