“So far it is surviving the drip of information being leaked.”
You make the mistake of not going back far enough in time and/or not starting at the start. You also make the mistake of not allowing for the misinformation that is coming from every branch of government.
It might also be helpful to realize that OFTEN, more often than you might think, the cia works against itself...as does the dia...as does the nsa. And that betwixt and between them, they work against each other. Add doj and state into the mix and you have FUBAR from the jump. The right hand doesn’t always know what the left hand is doing.
So which part of the hypothesis has been proven wrong?