I think I may have an idea as to why the disconnect. It occurred to me this morning when I was re-thinking my voting experience yesterday. All of the precincts that voted at the same location used to go to different tables and had their own voting booths. Yesterday, they combined four (in our case) and put all booths against a single wall. I'm not sure, but I think they REDUCED the number of machines, which would slow the process down. In addition, rather than four women taking IDs and checking names, it was only two.
I'm looking into this. It would explain the so called "turnout" when in fact there wasn't any.
Turnout looks like it was terrible for Romney. 4 million less than Bush 2004, 2 million less than McCain.
Obama meanwhile is at John Kerry levels, making him beatable.
Looks like Evangelical Christians stayed home.
Let’s not forget the Communist Democrats specifically set out to depress the white conservative vote.
There, fixed.
O.K. lets parse it out
there were 5,721,837 total Ohio votes in 2008 and 5,333,936 total votes in 2012, for a reduced voter turnout of 387,901
in 2008 McCain got 2,677,820 (46.8%)
and Obama got 3,044,017 [(2,677,820/.468) = 5,721,837 * .532 = 3,044,017]
in 2012 Romney got 2,661,364 votes
[(2,672,302/50.1)= 5,333,396 * .499 = 2,661,364]
to Obama’s 2,672,302
YET IT WAS TO 49.9% in a low turn out year to McCains 46.8%
the good part is Romney got a higher % of the vote,
but something about Ohio is so blue?? that Obama could lose 371,715 votes and still win
he lost 371,715 votes, reducing his margin to 50.1% from 53.2% last time
Romney lost 16,456 votes below McCain, but raised the GOP %
total lower turnout - 387,901
less votes for Obama - 371,715
less votes GOP - 16,456
which means third party gained 279 votes
real lesson here
Ohio IS (or at least has been) a very blue state.
So what kept 95% of the low turnout to be low turnout for Obama, compared to last time, but NOT translate any of it into GOP votes; which is what I think GOP pollsters were thinking.
But Fraud on the scale of 300K plus I think would be hard to find. One would think lower trrnout would not be so lopsided, and that would actually mean an even lower vote for Romney.
Something is just weird - to me - about the Ohio electotrate.