The final RCP EV map had it: O 201, R 191. I give PA, MI, and NV to O, putting him at 243. I give FL, NC, VA, and CO to R, putting him at 257. R would then need 13. That leaves OH (18), WI (10), IA (6), NH (4). I have a good feeling about WI, maybe better than OH. Then if R can pick up IA, it puts him over the top, at 273. That is a squeaker scenario, but it could go higher than that.
We’ll know VA by about 10 pm. From my perspective it’ll be close. Very very high turnout.