[LS]

If D's lead in earlies from the 28% is "less than 10%," I'd like to know where you got that. But if true, it means that the magic number is 156,000. Doable, but tough.

However, if the magic number is closer to 5%, then it's over for Obama.

Bush won this state by 118,000, so at the 156,000 number we'll have to have a combo of increased 38,000 in additional Rs and/or I advantage and/or D-R flips.

[rlbedfor]

Rove had Romney down by only 75K last night in OH early voting ( with all the normal assumptions about who people actually vote for ).