Internal polls are most accurate because they don’t pander to political correctness of having to include a certain amount of black/hispanic/female/young voters.
Internals look at who is most likely to turn up at the polls. This was the whole reason Axelgrease made his bully-boy phone call to Gallup. He threatened Gallup with legal action because he said they were not representing the African American vote enough in their sample.
I noticed too that the lastest Pew poll methodology asked to speak to the YOUNGEST registered voter of the household...
So pollsters may not intend to over-represent Dims, but if they are having racial/other groups weighted, then this has a result of showing more Dims in the sample. (This is how Dick Morris explained it earlier today.)
Anyhow — NOW for a trip down memory lane. The Wisconsin Recall was ‘too close to call’. Ha! 49 Minutes after the polls closed, the race was called for Walker. His victory was 53-46. Enjoy this clip of Mizz Madcow and company eating crow...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pchwcD4IPzs
Received one of these Pew-like calls on Saturday. They wanted youngest 18 or older female in household. Nobody in my cell phone matched that profile.
She hung up on me.