1% is enough according to one of Nate Silvers recent articles:
Mr. Romney would not be in much danger of losing the Electoral College if he won the popular vote by more than about 1.5 percentage points. For example, he would be about a 95 percent favorite in the Electoral College if he won the popular vote by two percentage points, according to the forecast model.
But with national polls now showing a slight edge for Mr. Obama, these outcomes have become less likely. If Mr. Romney wins the popular vote, it may be only barely, and that might not be enough for him to win the Electoral College.
Seriously, why do you keep bringing up Nate Silver?
The guy is a partisan hack and said Obama had an 80% chance of being re-elected. He makes PPP look good.
From what I understand NEVER in Gallup’s history of polling has a candidate been ahead as late as October 25 and lost the election.
So essentially Mr Silver is predicting a Popular/Electoral Vote split. Interesting prediction.
It’s turnout folks! I hope all of us in swing states are making sure all of our like-minded family/friends and co-workers are getting to the polls!
MasterNate ignores polls he doesn't like -- even if one was 2008's Most Accurate and the other poll has been around since Moses ... Why would anyone willingly line up to be tar & feathered like Zogby is beyond me. It has to be the attention whore at the core of every Millenial KosKid.