Sabato predicted a John Kerry victory.
And the 2004 race was never as close as the public polling showed. Sabato is missing the data coming out of Colorado, and he's plain wrong about Ohio (and he doesn't even see it coming in Wisconsin, but it is).
Not according to their website. The crystal ball for 2004 has Sabato predicting a tie.
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/ljs2004110101/
Bush: 269 Electoral Votes / Kerry: 269 Electoral Votes
From the their final crystal ball statement in 2004:
We don’t really believe the tie, but if ever there is a year that will produce an Electoral College tie–given 10 tied polls at the end–it is 2004. We really think that if turnout hovers around 115 million to 117 million Bush has the edge, but if turnout truly skyrockets, most of those new voters will not be coming out to say, “Good job Mr. President,” and Kerry will pull the upset.
So where do you come up with the idea he predicted a Kerry victory? I mean, at the end, when he makes his real predictions. Seems like he predicted a tie to me.
This just looks like more attacking the analyst/commentator because folks don't like what they have to say.