To: ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas
I treat the bias as an uncertainty that varies during the simulation, rather than as a constant. It ranges from zero to 2.5%,with a likely value of 1%. I think this will generate an adjustment that is still lower than the amount that people say the polls are skewed by.
-PJ
12 posted on
11/05/2012 6:33:41 AM PST by
Political Junkie Too
(If you are the Posterity of We the People, then you are a Natural Born Citizen.)
To: Political Junkie Too
I think this will generate an adjustment that is still lower than the amount that people say the polls are skewed by.Sounds reasonable. This is a very strange election, and more surprises may be coming. A real challenge for pollsters.
"God created pollsters to make astrologers look good." - John Kasich
13 posted on
11/05/2012 6:52:28 AM PST by
ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas
(Fool me once, shame on you -- twice, shame on me -- 100 times, it's U. S. immigration policy.)
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