That’s nice but the new PEW poll is not good.
Is that the D+6 poll?
Snarky, I have to be honest. If there was a big FReeper party, you would be one of the people I would avoid. Whining, complaining, negative people are a turn off.
It will be, what it will be, but negativity does no good for anybody. You remind me of my mother who always has a black cloud over her head.
The PEW oversamples D+s. Its been oversampling them all year.
Ignore PEW. How do you see the campaigns performing?
Again, people don’t turn in large numbers to listen to a loser and newspaper editors don’t endorse someone who won’t win.
“Thats nice but the new PEW poll is not good.”
Wasn’t it D+7? I say this election is more like 2010, R+1.
Our side is clearly energized, our opponents muted...
PEW Poll?
In any election season the last week of the election the undecided and the indies take one last look at the candidate they are leaning against. So in the last week you see a tightening of the polls as they look back over their shoulder one last time. I suspect the polls tomorrow and Tuesday will show movement to Romney as his support with the Independent and undecided voters firms up.
That PEW poll was D +6 and Female +8. So, 1) Do you *really* think the Dem turnout will be anywhere near +6? And 2) Are you a betting man?
PEW massively oversampled Dems
http://www.people-press.org/2012/11/04/obama-gains-edge-in-campaigns-final-days/2/
Dems 1557
GOP 1343
Indy 926
Not a rational sample.
Have you heard about the Redskin rule? When the Redskins win a game right before the election, the incumbent wins. When the Redskins lose a game right before the election the challenger wins. The Redskins lost today. The Redskin rule has only been wrong once, in 2004. Think positive.