Posted on 11/02/2012 9:02:00 PM PDT by Arthurio
BY MARC CAPUTO MCAPUTO@MIAMIHERALD.COM
Mitt Romney has maintained a solid lead over President Barack Obama in the latest Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald poll of likely voters who favor the Republican by six percentage points.
Romney’s strengths: independent voters and more crossover support from Democrats relative to the Republicans who back Obama, according to the survey conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research.
Romney’s crossover appeal is fueled by strong support in rural North Florida, a conservative bastion where a relatively high percentage of Democrats often vote Republican in presidential election years.
“I’m pretty convinced Romney’s going to win Florida,” said Mason-Dixon pollster Brad Coker, who conducted the 800-likely voter survey from Tuesday through Thursday.
“Will it be fivepoints? Maybe. Will it be three points? Possibly,” Coker said, of what he expects Romney’s margin will be. “I don’t think it’s going to be a recount … I don’t think we’re going to have a recount-race here.”
Romney is winning handily among men, marginally losing with women voters and has outsized support among non-Hispanic whites. He’s essentially winning on the issues as well: the economy, Medicare, foreign policy and looking out for the middle-class.
Coker noted the poll results are essentially unchanged from last month, when Romney led by a point more after he crushed Obama in their first debate.
The October poll and this one, which have error margins of 3.5 percent, were conducted for The Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald as well as the Tampa Bay Times, Bay News 9 and Central Florida News 13.
Although the latest survey shows Romney comfortably ahead 51-45 percent in Florida, the Republican can’t rest easy. Other polls show a tighter race, although they use a different method of polling than that of Mason-Dixon, a Florida-based firm.
Read more here: http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/11/02/3080246/poll-mitt-romney-maintains-lead.html#storylink=cpy
(Excerpt) Read more at miamiherald.com ...
I guess the pollsters who pulled out of Florida were right after all.
I’m not so sure about NC though, I have seen lots of stories about “faulty” voting machines.
Some really good news tonight. Pennsylvania and Florida looking good. Romney’s huge Ohio crowd. Very good.
Florida is Romney/Ryan Country!
NC and FL will be fine. This is coming down to VA and OH. CO will be close, and combine that with IA or NH and there is some insurance in case we win OH but lose in VA. I think Obama has the edge in WI, but not out of reach. PA and MI are a bit of a stretch IMO unless there is a weekend Bengazi bombshell or Sandy goes sour.
Saw some video of Mitt and Ann Romney at the Ohio rally tonight. They had the look of winners. Not the slumped shoulders and forced "Jerry Sandusky" smiles that John McCain had four years ago at this time as he went through the motions of his final rallies.
Evidently Mitt's team had some very good news for him today with respect to the internals.
How is PA looking good? I couldnt find anything except a 3 week old poll by an unknown outfit.
Check out breaking news. Romney leading by 4 in Pennsylvania.
That Poll Pick the Senate 2010 Election on the nose and was very close in the 2008 Presidential election
Marist has O up 2 in FL (and up 6 in OH). but with huge D+ samples. OH sample is D+9, double 2008. Their pollster claiming their poll more accurate than Mason Dixon (larger sample size).
Check out breaking news. Romney leading by 4 in Pennsylvania.
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Poll released tonight. They are a very reliable group.
Wow, missed that. Id feel a little better if Ras didn’t have O+6 in PA, but at least there is some hope.
CNN immediately tweets the Marist results, ignoring Mason Dixon. LOL.
I am very confident Romney is going to win it all. But some pollsters going some splaining to do come Wednesday.
Things are looking awsome!
I think this is for real and that’s why Romney has focused resources on Pennsylvania. Even the NYT’s admitted today that Romney is doing pretty good in Pennsylvania.
No fear about NC - blowout by 300 thousand votes. My wife ran across a minor irregularity and R/R attorney was at our door within the hour. He says they have had relatively little trouble in NC, and have had enough monitors to handle them.
Mason Dixon actually uses voter registration lists to poll. I wonder if this fails to take into account Democrat voter fraud?
good to hear
Voter registration is tight in florida.
When the Dims get a load of a Romney landslide they are going to go nuts.
A few will probably start rioting. We can expect assassination plots. Self emulations. It may be on the scale of a Zombie Apocalypse. The rage will be like Sandy.
We must be prepared.
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