Posted on 11/02/2012 4:40:55 PM PDT by montag813
As Election Day approaches, we must be very sensitive to last minute changes in the polls. Remember that President George W. Bush fell from a 4 point lead into a tie over the last weekend in 2000 and Clinton rose from a tie to a 5 point win in the last weekend of 1992.
With that caution in mind, a danger signal comes from the latest Rasmussen Poll reflecting a two point gain for Obama. Whereas before the storm, Rasmussen showed Romney two ahead, he now has the race tied at 48-48.
That is troublesome.
And, in Pennsylvania, Romney led on Wednesday night by two points but on Thursday night’s polling, he was tied. We have also seem slippage for Romney in Michigan. More troubling, Rasmussen shows a two point gain for Obama in job approval rising from 48% to 50% in the current poll.
All of these changes are, no doubt, related to hurricane Sandy.
Nobody really knows what the impact of hurricane Sandy will be on the election. Until its waves crashed into the New Jersey shore, the election was well in hand for the Romney campaign.
Coming off strong debate performances in which he debunked Obama’s negative attacks on him, the former Massachusetts governor was doing very well. Obama was reeling, unable to regain his footing, in search of a message, and bedeviled by questions about his increasingly obvious coverup of the Libyan attacks. But after the storm? Who knows? We have never had a storm so close to a national election, much less one as close as this is.
Many a governor or mayor has recovered from political oblivion by actively running around his state seeming to coordinate storm relief. And just as many have fallen apart because of a failure to clean up promptly.
It may be that Obama’s visit to New Jersey and the high profile (figurative) kisses bestowed on him by nominal Republican Mayor Bloomberg of New York and real Republican Chris Christie of New Jersey might have helped him.
Perhaps he is erasing the image of a nit-picking, petulant president deep into negative charges against his opponent and replacing it with the image of an executive handling a tough situation for our country.
This race is not over yet! And with a media determined to re-elect Obama, we may see the president’s recovery continue unless we step up our own efforts to thwart it. We are still likely to win. The undecided vote always goes against the incumbent and all the polling suggests we will be more successful than they will be at turning out our vote. But, early warning signs must be headed.
Bottom line: WORK LIKE HELL!!!
This schmuck should be finished in Republican politics. It ends here. If he costs Romney the election, he should be persona non grata. Let him become a Democrat, since he loves them so much. Bastard.
Morris’ motto is: Always be figuring out how to make a buck! This is all MOE stuff. I don’t believe that the fundamentals have changed.
A classic Dick Morris hedge....pathetic.
I expect him to switch parties and run in 2016 as a Dem. What the hell, the Dem's have no bench... Think about it, it makes perfect sense...
Christie wants to run in 2016, and since it looks like Mitt is in the lead, he needed to so what was necessary to get Obama elected. Of course, I still expect Mitt to win, and I suspect Christie will switch parties and run as a communist Democrat in 2016.
IOTW: This country is going to turn its back on freedom and continue down Obama’s road to communism because Barry did a few photo ops before heading to Vegas after a storm? We don’t deserve what we’ve got in this country.
I think the Staten Island and the Marathon reset the damage Blubber Butt did.
Christie might cost Romney NJ...but that's it.
This election is a universal rejection of Socialism. It doesn't work...it never has.
Europe and America should buy champagne for Tuesday night.
Collectivism will take a final bow (well not really...we'll never be rid of that scum. It is like fungus).
That said, the new American (and indeed human) renaissance awaits us.
If Obama thought he could cash-in on the compassionate leader ploy, he would be in New York/New Jersey from now until Election Day, but he’s nowhere near either state.
This is utter horse cr@p.
Lmao that waste of air morris has been looking for an ‘out’ since he opened his trap. What a worthless gas bag. Grow a pair and stick with it you perverted sack.
And when that time comes many republicans will remember what he did for Obama in the days leading up to this election, when the fate of the entire nation hangs in the balance, and say 'no thanks' big fella.
That said, Morris is selling drama here.
So a photo op is going to convince thousands of voters without jobs and struggling to make ends meet to vote for Obama again?
I don’t buy it, he didn’t even DO anything. And now people are starting to see how much a mess NYC is, and that’s not going to jive well with “Obama is wonderful” now that New Yorkers are rifling through dumpsters.
This is a a fundraising email to get cash for Michael Reagan’s PAC. Take it with some caution. I was trying to get a sense of his true feelings. Well see what Morris is saying over the next couple days.
He's just not that good.
Toe Sucker has no clue.
Christie helped Obozo no doubt. The far ass has delusions he could run for national office. No chance.
My concern was that O was going to spend the rest of the campaign in NY and NJ. That would have sealed his deal. I was wrong. He came, he saw, he got his picture taken and then turned tail. The polls will catch up with this before Tuesday.
yes, keep in mind this was fodder for a fund raising email blast, upon which Morris gets paid a percentage of the take...
The USSC taught me not to assume anything anymore in this country earlier this summer.
When did people start listening to Dick Morris?
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