Do any posts explain the basis for their optimism? Internal polls, exit polls of early voters, etc.?
None, other than Silver’s as far as I could tell.
I think there assurance of zero’s win was all based on their pure unadulterated adulation of zero.
We have a family member who is so adoring of zero that it is almost embarrassing, it borders on sexual (sorry, tmi horrid visualization). She talks about how much she loves him, but it’s not an, “I love chocolate cake.” kind of love, it’s a lovvvvvve kind of thing. Ick. It’s weird that he has such an almost cult-like following.
So maybe that’s where they get their optimism? Hoping that’s all it is.