In 2008, per CNN the final exits were
D+8 (39/31/30)
For Obama, Dem 89-10 Rep 8-92 and Ind 52-44. If this poll is be believed, Obama is in trouble.
Obama won by 4.5% in 2008, 51.5%-47%.
I find it hard to believe after 4 disastrous years, we can’t move 2.5 points up and down to give Romney the win. It would amount to swapping out about 130,000 votes.