Do not understand why Ras is using a D+3 turnout model when all the other pollsters show far greater enthusiasm amongst Republicans versus Dems.
I anticipate an incremental move to D+2 or D+1 in the next few days with Raz explaining that his polling shows the turnout race "tightening". That would add a point or two to the current R+2.
In any case, Rasmussen is going to come out with the number that he thinks is going to win him the "Most Accurate Pollster" again this year.