Posted on 11/01/2012 7:09:08 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
Michael Graham @MGraham969
All polls agree: Mitt winning Indies, GOP vote more intense, Obama losing early voting, support capped at 47%. Obama wins...HOW?
Which makes me think the Marist poll’s finding for IA could be off; they do reveal that Romney is very likely ahead in NH and WI and he’ll win both states Tuesday!
Nice! I liked it better with R at 50 and 3 pts ahead but it’s better than being down two like zerO is with only five days left.
Rasmussen also announcing today they polled Wisconsin again and releasing today figures again of Romney 49% Obama 49%, not good for Obama is it....
Obama is visiting Wisc 4 times from Today until Tuesday, that ought to tell you something.
Finally!! Internals!!
The Governor is 4 ahead with Independents
The Governor is 6 behind with women
Right Track/Wrong Track: 38/56
Right Track/Wrong Track (Asian/Hispanic): 43/48
Right Track/Wrong Track (Independent): 31/58
Approval Index for Independents: -21%
Percentage of Republican Vote that the Governor is getting: 89%
Hispanic/Asian vote for the Governor: 35%
Just glad Romney’s still up 2. At least he’s not down.
Up 4 with indies? Where was he about a week ago?
What do you think the internals mean? Indy number scares me as does the asian hispanic right track wrong track.
In double digits, let me check. I think about +12 or so
Well that explains the margin shrinkage. Wonder what could have caused such a shift??
I anticipate an incremental move to D+2 or D+1 in the next few days with Raz explaining that his polling shows the turnout race "tightening". That would add a point or two to the current R+2.
In any case, Rasmussen is going to come out with the number that he thinks is going to win him the "Most Accurate Pollster" again this year.
Homosexual activist Nate Silver up to 79% chance of obama winning....
The race was always going to tighten a little.
But no presidential candidate in the lead in early November has ever gone on to lose on Election Day.
Williard Mitt Romney will be our 45th President and you can take that to the bank.
It’s been explained a million times on here but Rasmussen’s indie number fluctuates from double to single digits in just one polling cycle. It’s one of his less stable/reliable numbers. One time it went from +12 to +6 in one day (something like that). Maybe the expert poll analysts around here can tell us why this is happening????
What might this information from Mark Murray of NBC News, @mmurraypolitics, mean?
Romney’s final sked: THU — VA; FRI — WI, OH; SAT — IA, NH, CO; SUN: —TDB; MON NH
Obama’s final sked: THU — WI, NV, CO; FRI — OH; SAT — OH, WI, IA, VA; SUN — NH, FL, OH, CO; MON — WI, OH, IA
In what poll?
Nate Silver is living in a fantasy world.
His projection - take it for a grain of salt - rests on the assumption that this election will be a repeat of 2008.
I think he’s fool but he’s entitled to be one!
THANKS!
Very interesting... That Indy number is scary. But, that could well be a Sandy bounce that will do away quickly.
Sure hope so, anyway.
THANKS Gov Christie!
lol who CARES! I’m about as interested in his opinion as I am of hearing about INTRADE for the gazillionth time.
What gives this man such credibility? Oooo he predicted all the states O would win in 2008? Gee what a genius. Even Rove got that right. It was pretty clear to see last couple of weeks McCain was toast and what states were going for zerO.
What’s Silver’s track record for 2010??
Anyone?
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