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To: PatrickHaggerty; All

I have been believing we would win this handily.

This friggin storm may be changing that.

Checking out the social media tracker on NBC News’ site, it is clear Obama has got a bump, and I am sorry, it’s not Christie’s fault despite him being an idiot.

I am really upset here.

Real Clear Politics went nearly a point in Obama’s direction today, and it’s TIED AGAIN.

This is VERY BAD.

I think we win, but any hopes of a big win are now gone. That’s over unless this proves to be a brief bump.


44 posted on 10/31/2012 2:45:45 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: rwfromkansas; All

I am sorry for freaking out a bit in post 44.

While I DO NOT like the trend in RCP today, it appears it is largely due to no more Gallup in the mix and also severely D-oversampled polls.

That said, if Ras moves closer, we should get concerned.


45 posted on 10/31/2012 3:29:09 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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