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Pennsylvania Poll: Romney Within Four, Despite D+13 Sample
Townhall ^ | Oct 31, 2012 | Guy Benson

Posted on 10/31/2012 11:24:03 AM PDT by GonzoII

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So what's the real turnout going to be?
1 posted on 10/31/2012 11:24:03 AM PDT by GonzoII
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To: GonzoII

Given the run on yard signs, decals and bumper stickers for Romney-Ryan in places like Bucks, it looks encouraging.

And with the commercials they’re now running, they have a chance to flip the state. Let’s hope the GOP team can carry Bucks - otherwise they don’t stand a prayer when Philly comes in.


2 posted on 10/31/2012 11:31:18 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: GonzoII

Largely depends on Philadelphia voter enthusiasm. If they can’t turnout a good number of voters compared to past elections in Pennsylvania’s major cities, it makes it very likely, if not almost definite, that Romney wins the state.


3 posted on 10/31/2012 11:34:04 AM PDT by Morpheus2009
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To: GonzoII
Free Republic site seems so slow again.

Did you vote for obama in 2008?

If you did, shouldn't your battle cry be the following:

"Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me."

4 posted on 10/31/2012 11:36:28 AM PDT by john mirse
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To: GonzoII
I am telling you right here and now, if yard signs are any indication R & R are going to blow them out of the water.

I live in a liberal area outside Philly and my office is in Bucks County... You see no Obama signs this time... None.

I see no cars with Obummer stickers.. None.

This guy is toast in PA. I honestly think he is. It's a good thing too, because after the last four years... All I have left is change!

5 posted on 10/31/2012 11:36:35 AM PDT by WomBom ("I read Free Republic for the pictures")
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To: GonzoII

I’d buy PA as D+8 or D+10, maybe (though probably not this year). Still say Romney gets the state on the strength of the suburbs and the coal country.


6 posted on 10/31/2012 11:37:00 AM PDT by Snake65
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To: GonzoII

D+5

Romney 52% Obama 48%


7 posted on 10/31/2012 11:37:08 AM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: Morpheus2009

Tried early voting in Florida...50 to 75 people in line..good or bad??? this place is overrun with people from NY, NJ , Mass and Penn... we will see


8 posted on 10/31/2012 11:37:48 AM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: WomBom

What about the infamous 120% Philly voter turnout?


9 posted on 10/31/2012 11:40:42 AM PDT by newfreep (Breitbart sent me...)
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To: WomBom

It’s a lot like that around Pittsburgh as well. I live in the suburbs, and Romney/Ryan signs are EVERYWHERE.


10 posted on 10/31/2012 11:44:05 AM PDT by Cato in PA (1/26/12: Bloody Thursday)
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To: smoothsailing

I hope you’re a prophet! ;0)


11 posted on 10/31/2012 11:46:19 AM PDT by GonzoII (Quia tu es, Deus, fortitudo mea...Quare tristis es anima mea?)
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To: GonzoII

This poll is either toilet paper or a harbinger of a blowout.


12 posted on 10/31/2012 11:46:49 AM PDT by Mr. Silverback (Reagan @ only 39/Mondale +5/Dukakis +17/McCain +3...panic is unwarranted. So is complacency.)
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To: GonzoII

Once again we tell ourselves PA is “in play.” And it really is! These numbers look great. But I have been so burned by PA over the years that I am not getting my hopes up.


13 posted on 10/31/2012 11:47:07 AM PDT by outofstyle (Down All the Days)
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To: GonzoII

LOL, so do I! :o)


14 posted on 10/31/2012 11:50:30 AM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: GonzoII
If the PA electorate in 2008 was D+8, what basis does this pollster have in sampling at D+13? Are we really expected to believe that Democrats will turn out for Obama in even greater numbers than they did in 2008?

A poll with this ridiculous sample does not even warrant discussion.

15 posted on 10/31/2012 11:54:57 AM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: goldstategop

Waited for the high winds to pass here in Bucks. Our Romney/Ryan sign is going up this afternoon in time for trick or treat tonight—if the kids make it. Probably be over a few days here.

Driving from Montgomery County to here on Saturday counted 13 Romney, 3 Obama signs.


16 posted on 10/31/2012 11:57:34 AM PDT by GoldwaterChick
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To: SamAdams76

I was just going to ask. Was it D+8 in 2008? Anyone know for sure? Thanks.


17 posted on 10/31/2012 11:57:44 AM PDT by justice14 ("stand up defend or lay down and die")
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To: GonzoII

D + 13 covers the 2008 8% Dem advantage and the 2012
+5% Dem Vote Fraud....


18 posted on 10/31/2012 11:59:14 AM PDT by G Larry (Which of Obama's policies do you think I'd support if he were white?)
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To: WomBom

I’ve been in four different counties in southeast PA in the past week and the Romney signs outnumber the Obama signs 15-1. And no bumper stickers. As I said in another thread, our county was allotted 2000 signs, ordered another 2000 and they’re totally out. I had to settle for a placard, which is being nailed to the fence as we speak.


19 posted on 10/31/2012 12:00:55 PM PDT by Centaur (Never practice moderation to excess.)
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To: newfreep

If enough of them are dispirited this time we’ll have a shot


20 posted on 10/31/2012 12:02:12 PM PDT by WomBom ("I read Free Republic for the pictures")
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