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NPR Poll: R 48%, O 47% (+4 D)
http://media.npr.org/documents/2012/oct/NPROctpoll.pdf ^
Posted on 10/30/2012 4:53:55 AM PDT by MeanGreen2008
Romney wins on Jobs, Economy, Taxes, and Deficit
TOPICS: Breaking News
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; alteredtitle; notbreakingnews; repost; sourcetitlenoturl
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To: JoshuaLawrenceChamberlain
Hogwash. His response to the storm is to watch from the White House. He will get no “bump” from the storm.
To: MeanGreen2008
Of note, this same poll has Obama ahead 50-46 in battleground states.
22
posted on
10/30/2012 5:42:54 AM PDT
by
Humbug
To: MrB
Here is the latest from RCP...
NPR 48-47, Romney +1 (D+4)
Pew Research 47-47, Tie (D+1)
Rasmussen Reports 49-47, Romney +2 (D+4)
ABC News/Wash Post 49-49, Tie (D+7)
Gallup 51-46, Romney +5 (R+1)
IBD/TIPP 44-45, Obama +1 (D+7)
Politico/GWU/Battleground 48-49, Obama +1 (D+4)
Overall Avg, 48-47 Romney +1 (D+4)
Now if you take that average sample of D+4 and move it to what Gallup says is going to happen (R+1), it’s Romney 51-46. Exactly what Gallup shows.
23
posted on
10/30/2012 5:45:17 AM PDT
by
nhwingut
(If you are concerned, you are not paying attention (or you are a troll). It will be a landslide.)
To: CAluvdubya
>>>I missed it....what did Letterman say?
I would like to know too. Not that I care...but when rats jump of the ship...I like to see it...
To: Humbug
That I don’t believe.
Push polls like this one and CNN’s are about influencing the vote and not about reflecting reality.
There’s just a blatant bias towards Democrats this year.
25
posted on
10/30/2012 5:48:39 AM PDT
by
goldstategop
(In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
To: Lady Heron
I predict the national polls out this week will show a dead heat.
It’s their only option left of helping Obama, and not looking like fools. They cannot show Obama up 2-3. It will be Obama +1 to Romney +1.
For example, if they come out with a poll that says 47-47, they can keep the hope alive, but save face when Romney wins 52-47 - by saying the undecideds broke late for Romney.
26
posted on
10/30/2012 5:49:37 AM PDT
by
nhwingut
(If you are concerned, you are not paying attention (or you are a troll). It will be a landslide.)
To: goldstategop
And if it IS, fraud would have to be rampant.
To: JoshuaLawrenceChamberlain
Unfortunately we will see his approval start rising bc of his storm response. What storm response? That he is sitting in the White House looking like the doofus that he is?
Minds are made up. Now it's just a matter of getting everybody to the polls.
To: MeanGreen2008
So I clicked “headers” on the front page here and so okay, all the text below the articles disappeared but I don’t like it!
I did this due to an article by some Freeper on how to cut down “drag” on this forum.
Can somebody help me? I hit “header” again but nothing happens.
I hate the article list without the text!
29
posted on
10/30/2012 5:54:08 AM PDT
by
Fishtalk
(http://patfish.blogspot.com/)
To: matt1234
The insides of many Priuses will be spattered with brains after their drivers heads explode You misspelled "oatmeal".
30
posted on
10/30/2012 5:57:09 AM PDT
by
Izzy Dunne
(Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line.)
To: MeanGreen2008
According to Dave in Fl (at AceHQ)....
R+0.90% - Current RCP Average
O+0.13% - Average using the 2008 turnout model
R+2.63% - Average using the D+3 turnout model
R+4.86% - Average using the 2010 turnout model
R+4.91% - Average using the 2004 turnout model
R+6.65% - Average using the Rasmussen Party ID turnout model
31
posted on
10/30/2012 5:59:13 AM PDT
by
nhwingut
(If you are concerned, you are not paying attention (or you are a troll). It will be a landslide.)
To: Fishtalk
So I clicked headers on the front page here and so okay, all the text below the articles disappeared but I dont like it! Try clicking on the other option: "text".
32
posted on
10/30/2012 5:59:46 AM PDT
by
Izzy Dunne
(Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line.)
To: Humbug
Of note, this same poll has Obama ahead 50-46 in battleground states.
The battleground portion uses a D+9 sample. What planet is Carville on to think there will be a D+9 in the swing states, when the national turnout will be R+1.
33
posted on
10/30/2012 6:06:02 AM PDT
by
nhwingut
(If you are concerned, you are not paying attention (or you are a troll). It will be a landslide.)
To: nhwingut
If this is their last poll before the election they can not do that if it is really not close. If they have more polls to go then no problem. So the only way they show a neck and neck race in their last poll is if it is what they really think is true.
That last poll they make has to be as close as they really think is right because they want to be called on next election as a gold standard in predicting the last election. They do not want to be Zogby, they have a business to run....
To: Lady Heron
I am guessing this is the last NPR/DC poll. They are not a regular pollsters. So I believe this is it.
And to show a Romney win, says it all. Carville is behind this one (Democracy Corps), so he can say he predicted a Romney win, even if Romney wins by 2-4 more points. He had Obama’s number right, and the undecideds broke late, blah blah blah.
This is a meaningful poll.
35
posted on
10/30/2012 6:11:50 AM PDT
by
nhwingut
(If you are concerned, you are not paying attention (or you are a troll). It will be a landslide.)
To: MeanGreen2008
Wailing and gnashing of teeth as the evildoers are cast into darkness.
36
posted on
10/30/2012 6:14:01 AM PDT
by
LS
("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
To: JoshuaLawrenceChamberlain
I don't think so for a couple of reasons. First, no one who is IN the hurricane gives a crap what Obama does right now. They are trying to survive, get by, keep their homes intact, mayors are trying to guard against rioting, and so on.
Second, pollsters such as Gallup have actually ceased polling (for at least one day) because of the disruptions. ANY poll that comes out now will have a severely tainted sample. If it took 1000 calls to get one respondent before, think of the number it will take now.
Barry is stuck. Nothing he can do will save him.
37
posted on
10/30/2012 6:17:50 AM PDT
by
LS
("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
To: nhwingut
He had Obamas number right, and the undecideds broke late, blah blah blah. This is a meaningful poll.LOL! I did not even pay much attention of O 47%...priceless. Yes, you read it right...Carville predicted a Romney win so that is all that matters.
To: JoshuaLawrenceChamberlain
Unfortunately we will see his approval start rising bc of his storm response. This could be bad for R.. I hope that is not the case though.. Frick I wish it was a week from today already What response? This was his "response" from Rush:
They flew him back, and he has spoken. AP. I have it right here in my formerly nicotine-stained fingers. AP, Breaking News! Ready? Ready for it? Obama: Slow-Moving Storm Will Affect Millions, Urges Americans to Heed Warnings. (Gasp!) Wow. That we could not have done without. That... Oh, thank God. (interruption) Apparently not. Apparently he could not tell us this from Florida.
39
posted on
10/30/2012 6:20:13 AM PDT
by
COBOL2Java
(I'm not voting for Obama, so therefore I must be helping Romney!)
To: Catsrus
Osama bin Laden’s supposed 2011 killing, Qadaffi’s actual killing in 2012, and the false claims that the USA is basically pulled out of Iraq. Sheeple cannot think beyond these ultra simplistic memes.
40
posted on
10/30/2012 6:28:04 AM PDT
by
Abiotic
(The ship of democracy, which has weathered all storms, may sink through the mutiny of those on board)
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