Yep...surge is tricky. My forecast was for 11' of water...+/-1'. Ended up 2' higher than my window....and what I said in post 170 was this:
"Winds TS...with gusts to hurricane force on the SW side.
"Surge to 11-12' max if it comes in on high tide.
"Massive power outages due to size of wind field and leaves on the trees making it easier to bring them down.
"Will hit with a WNW heading and a pressure around 945-950.
"Will cause 15-20 billion in damage."
Damage estimate was too low. This will be much more. I also said this:
"This storm is coming ashore somewhere along Jersey...possibly as far south as N DE coast...and as far north as NYC...but probably near ACY. This creates the worst possible funneling affect down Long Island Sound."
So...won't hang my head in shame on this forecast...
They finally resorted to using helicopters and "bambi" buckets. Let's pray this doesn't happen here with all the high rise buildings. Talk about a disaster!
I live in northern CT. Our local weather forecasts made it seem like the issues in NJ and NY along the shore would be more prevalent inland. As far as I can tell from the scanner, mostly tree damage to utilities. No reports of flooding inland or major structural damage etc.
When I saw it was supposed to hit in the southern part of NJ, and the wind direction, I figured the biggest threat would be flooding along the shoreline.
Well, you nailed the landfall almost dead on...report I saw said the “official” landfall was 5 miles south of Atlantic City, minimum central pressure 946 mb.
}:-)4
I still have power, but my office does not.
I wonder if the folks who were belittling this storm will have enough character to admit they were wrong. I see one has on this thread. But I doubt the most strident will.