RCP and Politico say that Obama is up by one point in this poll. What gives?
It is a different poll. The one you refer to is a snapshot of the topline question of who will people vote for, while this one is a projection on who will win based on a weighing of all the internals such as leadership qualities, jobs creation handling the economy, likeability etc. It is all these areas in which Romney has a strong lead that factored into the projection for the winner on Nov 6th.