[stickywillie]

if Rasmussen uses D+6, and in reality there are 4% more registered Republicans than democrats, in ‘12, doesn’t that mean Rasmussen has over sampled democrats by 10? so, his 4 point lead for R/R should be 14?

[CatOwner]

It’s probably D+3, and there’s a good bet that the GOP and DEMs will be within 1% of each other nationally.

[CT]

Isn't the +(?) what Zogby called his 'secret sauce.' Then most of his burned at the bottom of the pan.

If turnout is key, shouldn't we weight the poll enough to give the average D voter enough confidence to say "Pookie" will do it, while scaring enough Americans to set 5 alarm clocks the day of the election? In that case, D+4 sounds about right.

[HannibalHamlinJr]

I’m agreed - it would make no sense not only because of that, but his numbers didn’t change.

I’ll see if I can dig it up. Whoever the 2 posters were, they were pretty clear about the D+6, appropriately shocked, and I don’t think they were ... skewing around ... so to speak.