Any idea what the talk of D+6 switch from D+3 was yesterday?
I can probably find the thread, but it didn’t sound like people were just tossing it out - sounded like they were paid subscribers, at least 2 people stated it as fact.
The talk, I believe, was based on Romney winning the Indies by 20+ but still only up by 3-4. It did not seem possible.
But I think many missed that Romney was scoring 86-88% base support, not the historical 90-93. Every extra 3% from base (based on 36% Rs) adds a full point.
He did firm up his base today, and stands at 90% for Republican support. But dropped Indie support.
Also, Rasmussen only rounds off the toplines numbers. So when it shows, 50-47 for example, it could be closer to 51-46 when you dig into the data (decimal points), e.g. 50.46-46.50 will read 50-47 as the topline, but it’s actually almost 4 point lead.