[AdamBomb]

"No way Dems will +8 over the Repubs. Romney is going to win if this survey is in anyway accurate."

What I don't understand is if this weighting is wrong, then why does Rasmussen have virtually the same result? Is Rasmussen weighting +8 dem????

[mrs9x]

The poll itself says that 40% D and 32% R.

What is even more devastating is that Romney is up by 12 among independents. If this poll is even remotely accurate, Romney is going to win the state.

[3Fingas]

I think his turnout models are wrong and the net effect will be to add 2 or 3 percentage points to expected Romney votes.
But, I could be wrong about that. Perhaps, the pollsters are subconsciously including democrat voter fraud already into their projections.