Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: SamAdams76
FoxNews was the only pollster to have McCain down less than 5 at this point.

I'm still nervous, although I always am election time. What bothers me is the disconnect between state and national polls. I highly doubt both of them are right. Ohio isn't more leftist than the country, despite its local issues. The question is which polls are wrong. State or national. If it's state, we're in good shape. If it's national, we're in trouble.

I already voted and I'm going to be one of those evil vote suppressors on election day. Dead people can't vote. People can't vote in two different precincts. Nor can people go to the polls and pretend to be someone else.

28 posted on 10/28/2012 12:07:29 PM PDT by Darren McCarty (Holding my nose one more time to get rid of Eric Holder)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies ]


To: Darren McCarty
FoxNews was the only pollster to have McCain down less than 5 at this point.

Not sure about FoxNews but Gallup had McCain within two points of Obama just a week before the election. Others here have been posting a comparison spreadsheet that points that out.

I think the nationals are pretty accurate with respect to Gallup and Rasmussen - this is their bread and butter, and in the case of Gallup, they've been doing this since 1936 with good success.

So I feel comfortable that Romney is up 3-5 points nationally at this point, which should be enough to yield a solid electoral win. Even better, the challenger usually gets a surge at the end, so a 4-7 point Romney win is definitely in the cards - that would be an electoral landslide and likely bring PA, MI, WI, IA, CO and NH into the GOP column. I think FL, VA, NC and OH are in the bag for Romney. Yes, I think OH is going to come through, otherwise the Romney campaign would be spending much of their time there as that state is so crucial to the electoral calculus needed for a Romney victory.

32 posted on 10/28/2012 12:44:27 PM PDT by SamAdams76
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 28 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson