http://flhurricane.com/cyclone/stormspotlight.php?year=2012&storm=18
Interesting. Thanks for that update. I still think it will head west but maybe not as far west as the current forecast.
Please don't comment on things you don't understand.
The "models" with a miss are very old, very primitive (as old as the 1970s) and/or are variations that do not apply to a system such as Sandy for various complicated reasons. They aren't even looked at by NHC. I actually think they really should stop running them.
The difference between those models and the ones with NJ hits are like the difference between a Commodore 64 and a supercomputer.
Every single legitimate modern model has a hit in New Jersey.
This graphic shows a different story.
http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_18.gif
While some of those models do, indeed, show the storm staying over the ocean longer and then moving into Nova Scotia, those are hurricane track models. By this time tomorrow Sandy will either be transforming into a mid-latitude cyclone or done with the process. Cold core. Nor’easter. Hurricane track models don’t do well with Nor’easters.
I HOPE is doesn’t take that turn to the west and into the Mid-Atlantic region... especially as I live in Maryland. But it is looking more and more like the models are right on this one.
At least it won’t be cold enough for snow except in the mountains.
Good luck to everyone in the storm’s path... hopefully they will only be fish!
