DU today reminds me of frankly us after the Dem convention. We relied on unreliable and unknown pollsters (as well as frankly truly GOP firm polls as well).
They are doing the same and quoting Dem pollsters now.
I am looking at Ras and Gallup.
Right now, I am very confident we win.
If the trend goes south, I will get concerned. But, I do not see a real change in this race. Both of the October surprises did not do anything, and frankly, I doubt any more are coming this late in the game.
2000 is not like today.....so many vote early you have to get those surprises out early.
The only thing that does concern me is the superstorm and how it may cause people to see Obama as savior again.
But, it is largely impacting Dem areas as it is, including likely hitting DC very hard.
Voting may be difficult due to loss of power in Virginia/Pennsylvania etc.