[SoFloFreeper]

And with Gallup projecting a R+1 advantage for 2012, O will be crushed in a blowout.

Where do you see that? I saw they thought the electorate would be just like 2008.

[okie01]

"And with Gallup projecting a R+1 advantage for 2012, O will be crushed in a blowout."

Where do you see that? I saw they thought the electorate would be just like 2008.

The headline was misleading. Gallup was saying that the electorate would be just like 2008 -- demographically.

But, in terms of party ID, they were projecting turnout of 35D/36R/29I. More like 2004...only better.

Blowout.

[nhwingut]

I saw they thought the electorate would be just like 2008.

The Gallup story mislead their findings. The electorate is similar (i.e. post grads, minorities, etc). But the party leanings have changed dramatically.

From D39/R29 (D+10) (2008) to D35/R36 (R+1) (2012).

From Dem/Lean Dem 54 Repub/Lean Repub 42 (D+12)(2008)

To Dem/Lean Dem 46 Repub/Lean Repub 49 (R+3)(2012)

Huge!