If Nate Silver is as good as he says he is he would be someone’s Karl Rove working in the back room.
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Take a look at his website : Excellent presentation. Fundamentally good methodology using weighted polls. Statistical use of MOEs.
But ...
His bias ruins the soup. He favors D biased polls and weights them on the heavy side. He includes polls that shouldn’t be on any honest list.
In a nutshell: it’s garbage in - garbage out. So much talent, so few brains.
Exactly who is this guy and why should we listen to him?
He could have had such a bright future in climate science field.