Wisconsin: Obama 49%, Romney 49%

Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10/26/2012

[GLDNGUN]

President Obama and Mitt Romney are now tied in the critical battleground state of Wisconsin.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Wisconsin Voters shows the president and his Republican challenger each earning 49% support.

[GLDNGUN]

...A week ago, the president held a slight 50% to 48% lead. Earlier in the month, he was ahead 51% to 49%. In surveys in Wisconsin since October of last year, the president has earned 44% to 52% of the vote, while Romney’s support has ranged from 41% to 49%.

Ninety-six percent (96%) of Badger State voters say they are sure to vote in this election. Romney leads 51% to 47% among these voters.

Among the 90% who say they’ve already made up their minds whom they will vote for, it’s Romney 51%, Obama 48%.

Romney has a six-point lead over Obama – 50% to 44% - among all voters in the state when they are asked which candidate they trust more to handle the economy...

[GLDNGUN]

With those internals how does Romney NOT win Wisconsin?

[sarasota]

I hope the voters in Milwaukee (little Chicago) and Madison (liberal U. of Wisconsin) woke up!

[relictele]

Is it too late to get a bunch of lardassed female teachers and weedy hippie male teachers to bus in for a protest?

[freedom1st]

Mitt opening up multiple paths to victory without Ohio. This is good news.

[navymom1]

And a WI win makes Ohio non-essential.

[ilgipper]

Wisconsin is one state we undeniably have a superior GOTV apparatus. Our VP is from there and has his district team. The RNC chair is from WI, and got the job due to his WI strategy, and the whole recall debacle of the past 2 years built all the lists and organization for it. I think we win Wisconsin.

[Disambiguator]

Ninety-six percent (96%) of Badger State voters say they are sure to vote in this election.

"Wolverines!Badgers!"

[ilgipper]

To add to my thoughts earlier...I am hoping for decisive victory, but wouldn’t it be a sweet victory if Wisconsin put us over the top after all the recall shenanigans of the past two years? It would be a direct result of the sour taste the unions, Dems and media left across Wisconsin.

[BarnacleCenturion]

Ohio is in the bag.

[HannibalHamlinJr]

Pardon the CAPITAL LETTERS I'm rushing and just copying in an email I sent to friends, also rushed, once I turned on caps I just said the hell with it.

******

You know how we have 'likely voter" screens? Well Rasmussen asks likely voters, "are you CERTAIN" to vote …

Take a look at this stat from his Wisconsin Poll.

"Ninety-six percent (96%) of Badger State voters say they are sure to vote in this election. Romney leads 51% to 47% among these voters."

ASK YOURSELF THIS: IF 96% OF LIKELY VOTERS ARE CERTAIN TO VOTE, AND THE LIKELY VOTE IS TIED AT 49% …

AND THE RESULT IS CERTAIN VOTERS WILL VOTE 51%R TO 47%O? THAT'S 4 POINTS.

WITH ONLY A SLIGHT ROUND, THAT MEANS 100% OF NOT-CERTAIN VOTERS ARE OBAMA VOTERS, and we know Obama voters are going to "not turn out" at a rate of some percentage.

Be conservative and knock the 4% down to 2%, and Romney's up by 2 in Wisconsin.

(none of that takes into consideration that the polls are lagging the reality, and whatever state level skew Ras is using - we know as of today that national skew is now D+6 for Ras - sounds like he and Gallup agreed to comprimise.)

[Snake65]

ilgipper — your lips to God’s ears, as they say. That would be sweet, sweet, sweet.

[nhwingut]

Romney has a six-point lead over Obama – 50% to 44% - among all voters in the state when they are asked which candidate they trust more to handle the economy...

Game over. These polls are going to be fun over the next 10 days or so. The Gallup electorate survey today is the best news yet. The election is basically going to be a landslide.

[bigbob]

Bear in mind, that since Obama was elected:

- Progressive darling Sen. Russ Feingold was tossed out of office

- Scott Walker was elected and confirmed again by an even larger margin in the highly contentious recall following passage of ACT 10

- Republicans took control of the state legislature

- Conservative SC Justice David Prosser won (despite massive fraud)

- The competitor to Tommy Thompson for the dairy queens Senate seat is a radical progressive lesbian

- The Republican VP candidate is a well-liked brilliant conservative leader from Wisconsin

- Wisconsin democrats killed 600 badly-needed union jobs in the taconite mine deal and major employers such as Kimberley Clark and Oshkosh have announced major layoffs in recent days.

Given all the above, the only question I have is why Obama-Biden is not trailing by at least 10 points.

[GraceG]

[GraceG]

Given all the above, the only question I have is why Obama-Biden is not trailing by at least 10 points.

Poll Margin of error +/- 20%

Read in the margins!

[IsaacDian]

So Romney leads by 4 points amoung certain to vote and those who have made up their mind...and is at 49% overall. The only way Obama wins WI is if NONE of his supporters change their mind and they ALL decide to show up at the polls after indicating they may not...

R/R wins Wisconsin. Romney is a freakin genius - I remember people saying picking Ryan was stupid because he should have picked someone from a swing state. Romney had the foresight to realize Wisconsin WOULD be a swing state, and I bet Ryan is what pushes him over the top there.

[Kinger87]

I was born in Wisconsin. Lived there until my 13th year. Grew up in Democratic Rock county taking its lead from Dane. Madtown and Milwaukee won’t wake up, but at least the enthusiasm gap is enough that it should keep the pro-Obama voters home. I hope.

I’d love to see Wisconsin turn red, because Lord knows Washington never will...

[Seattle]

That’s not nice. We may one day see the light around here. In West Seattle, I’ve seen nearly as many Romney signs as Obama signs. Something is happening here, probably not enough to turn us purple, but it’s happening slowly.

[TheOldLady]

Click the Dice!

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