Nate Silver correctly predicted 49 of 50 states’ numbers accurately in 2008 — a record unmatched by any other polling outfit.
Why would he jeopardize his lucrative livelihood by putting out false polls this time around?
“Why would he jeopardize his lucrative livelihood by putting out false polls this time around?”
Why not? It didn’t stop Zogby after his accurate results of 1996. When you let your bias affect your polling methods it hurts your reputation eventually. Plus Silver’s results were by getting inside info from the Obama campaign pollsters.
Nate Silver is the Dick Morris of the Left. A lot of pollsters are right ONCE, just like a broken clock is right twice a day. Recall Zogby in 2004 and then never again.
I don’t think Nate Silver is intentionally putting up false data, he’s just interpreting it wrong because reality of the tighter race not what he wants to believe...same as Dick Morris wants to believe Romney is going to take PA.