Swing State Sneak Peek: R:50 O:46 -> Unchanged
The Governor is up 11 with Independents
He is behind 5 with women
Approval Index is -14%, which is lower than the -12% nationally.
So, that may show more Republican intensity in the Swing States
Which is confirmed, so far, in the early voting data available from Ohio. Adrian Gray (Bush pollster) has been tracking it closely, and tweeted this earlier today:
OHIO in one tweet: 220k fewer Dems have voted vs 2008, 30k more GOP. That's net 250k. Obama won by 260k in '08. Now 11 days left.
This is huge - McCain actually won the majority of votes cast on Election Day in 2008, and some polling has shown Romney with a 10 point lead amongst voters who intend to vote in-person; if Obama does not have a significant lead from early voting by November 6th, he is toast.
Oh, nad one more tidbit - Rasmussen will show Wisconsin tied this morning. :)
Down -5 wiaath women, but up how much with men?