@NumbersMuncher
Rasmussen has Romney still up 3, 50-47. Romney up 17 among indys. Ras moved sample to *about* D+6 to keep it a 3 point race.
Rasmussen has Romney still up 3, 50-47. Romney up 17 among indys. Ras moved sample to *about* D+6 to keep it a 3 point race."
Excellent. Now let's get OH, WI, and NV moving in that direction.
If Rasmussen had same party ID weighting as yesterday, Romneys lead would have jumped from 3 pts to 4.44 points today. Either 50-46 or 51-46
I believe this. Because it has always been a tied race on ideological base, i.e. 95/5 Rs voting Romney, 95/5 Ds voting Obama.
But now Rasmussen has 95/5 Rs voting Romney, while 85/13 Ds voting Obama.
That’s a big drop off of base for Obama. And now with Indies pulling away for Romney, if it were still a D+3, Romney would be up 53-47.
If Romney wins this thing, it should become clear to some on FR that the independents and even trying to win over Dems/women is important to a victory.
The electorate is so polarized that is the ONLY way to win this year.
If Romney came out as a staunch conservative and said he was going to get rid of the Department of Ed, IRS etc., Obama would have won.
I am hoping he will be a center-right president, and that’s why I support him. The good thing is, we have Ryan as VP and he will be immensely helpful with the budget, at least I think.
He will also help present conservative ideas in a manner that people can like.
Romney is not going to be a huge right-winger. But, I can’t imagine him not being much better than Obama.