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To: JediJones

Anybody have any real numbers yet to support these lofty predictions of a total EV blowout in Romney’s favor? Not trying to be a downer here, but I’m awful skeptical.


4 posted on 10/25/2012 8:55:09 PM PDT by Utmost Certainty (Our Enemy, the State)
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To: Utmost Certainty; LS; Ravi; TonyInOhio

Yes. LS, Ravi, and TonyinOhio have been looking at the numbers beyond polling. It may interest you.


25 posted on 10/25/2012 10:35:02 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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To: Utmost Certainty

You mean other than the #s we’ve posted here for 2 months showing OH Ds ar off their 08 absentee pace by a net 175,000 ballots?


35 posted on 10/26/2012 4:28:30 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Utmost Certainty
Anybody have any real numbers yet to support these lofty predictions of a total EV blowout in Romney’s favor? Not trying to be a downer here, but I’m awful skeptical.

It's simple math. It's possible for Romney to get to 270 without Ohio if he pick up several other smaller swing states. If he takes those plus Ohio, he's already up near 300 EV. Add in Michigan and/or Pennsylvania, and it starts turning into a rout.

Not saying it will happen, but the margins are tight enough in even MI and PA that a late break toward Romney does make it possible. Personally, I'm thinking Obama is rapidly approaching his floor of support and the middle-of-the-fence voters are going to break hard for Romney, better than the typical 3:1. Prediction: Romney 53, Obama 45 (Others 2) and Romney with 320+ EV.

38 posted on 10/26/2012 4:41:23 AM PDT by kevkrom (If a wise man has an argument with a foolish man, the fool only rages or laughs...)
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