I’ve no doubt that Democrat voting is indeed down and that their enthusiasm level this cycle is deflated compared to what it has been. I’ve also no doubt that Republican enthusiasm is way up. Nobody need convince me on either of these two points.
My skepticism is that this simply isn’t going to be enough come election day once the voting is tallied. That the political demographics of this country have irreparably shifted to the point where there will never be enough excited Republicans/Others to outvote the tumorous mass of Democrats/Liberals no matter how listless they are.
Honestly, I was rather concerned in ‘10 evendespite major GOP gains in the House as well as in Local/State offices around the countrythat the electoral backlash against Obama/et al wasn’t bigger, given all the recent public outrage against Obamacare and what not at the time. Yes, it was a good night that Nov. 2nd but frankly, all things considered, the aftermath nevertheless struck me as something too little, too late and left me with a “that’s it?” feeling.
What concerns me is that no president has won an election since 1980 without winning BOTH Nevada and Ohio. Yet Romney hasn’t been ahead in polls for either of these states yet. He can make up for that if he really can win states like Wisconsin and Penn., but that would make for an odd electoral map.