I think you could say Newt’s using Dick Morris methodology to get these numbers. He did say he’s basing it on years of experience in campaigns. He sounded less certain when discussing Ohio specifically than he did of the overall totals, could be my imagination.
He said it was something Carville told him years ago.
He also said they just discovered a bunch of oil in Ohio waiting to be tapped and it would create thousands of jobs. Said Ohio could become the next North Dakota.