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Daily Rasmussen: THU 10/25: R:50% O:47% Obama -12%
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10/25/2012 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 10/25/2012 6:36:14 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer

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To: Iowegian

No - but O’s support is very soft there. He won’t pull in the big numbers like Gore and Kerry did.

CA has gotten so bad O has bought more commercial air time in a Deep Blue State he could take in his sleep.


21 posted on 10/25/2012 6:52:46 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: nhwingut
Also a tidbit for later today.

New data will be released later today for Virginia along with updates from Pennsylvania and North Carolina.

If those states move out of play NC and VA for Romney and PA for Obama it basically locks the race into Ohio. If Pennsylvania comes into play Romney will have to make some hard decision if he wants to put the resources into OH where Obama has poisoned the water, or go after fresher ground in PA.
22 posted on 10/25/2012 6:54:10 AM PDT by GonzoGOP (There are millions of paranoid people in the world and they are all out to get me.)
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To: goldstategop

I’m a California native, so I will believe it when I see it.


23 posted on 10/25/2012 6:55:04 AM PDT by Iowegian
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To: Republic Rocker

If, as the polls seem to lean now, Virginia and Colorado fall (257EV) then not winning Ohio leaves only one really solid-ish chance in my mind, Win Wisconsin and New Hampshire.


24 posted on 10/25/2012 6:56:31 AM PDT by sharkshooting
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Time to focus on the state polls. Blood is in the water but the American people need to make sure their own state’s margin is high enough to be fraud resistant.

Remember Al Franken! Best way to prevent that is make sure its not even close. They can and will “find” a few 1000 votes. Much harder when it’s in the 10s or 100s of thousands. Best way to do this is drag neighbors and friends to the polls with you to make sure they vote.


25 posted on 10/25/2012 6:56:43 AM PDT by The Hound Passer
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Better than yesterday . O loses a point.


26 posted on 10/25/2012 7:00:26 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Yesterday had it 50/R to 48/O with zer0 -9.

Today is better, no?


27 posted on 10/25/2012 7:03:29 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: SoftwareEngineer
Uploaded from the Photobucket iPhone App
28 posted on 10/25/2012 7:03:38 AM PDT by ConservativeInPA (The truth hurts)
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To: SoftwareEngineer; P-Marlowe; AFPhys; All

It sounds like the first day after debate assessment was a victory for Obama. The 2nd day, once all the lies came out, was less favorable. Here’s hoping the 3rd day will be a turn in Romney’s direction due to the blow-up over the Benghazi emails.

Rush says that Gallup and others ran 7+ Romney numbers just so the Obama campaign could claim a surge after the final debate. Those frezied Romney supporters on FR who were high-fiving over Gallup and bad-mouthing Rasmussen were not listening to Rush Limbaugh’s experience with these people. He was dead on. It was a set-up. That means that Gallup and the mainstream pollsters still have a bit of time to churn out numbers showing the race dead even or +Obama. They WILL do it. And some could care less if they are right or wrong come election day. The liberals know they can do real polling if they really want to, so they’ll hire them anyway.

I keep saying to pay attention to tried and steady Rasmussen. Most significant with Rasmussen is Romney reaching the 50% level and staying there steadily. ANY percentage of the undecided vote that goes Romney’s way would theoretically insure a Romney victory.


29 posted on 10/25/2012 7:03:46 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True supporters of our troops pray for their victory!)
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To: snarkytart

No, he gained a point. Went from 50-46 to 50-47

However the internals deteriorated for the President


30 posted on 10/25/2012 7:04:22 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Debate bounce. And I blame Romney for being lax and letting Obama get away with too much.


31 posted on 10/25/2012 7:04:30 AM PDT by libh8er
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To: Republic Rocker

Josh Jordan over at NRO has a good blog post about the Ohio numbers - he thinks the early voting is skewing the “likely voter” screen, because the internals tell a different story than the top line number. He is of the opinion that Romney could comfortably win Ohio without the polls ever showing him with a significant (or any) lead.


32 posted on 10/25/2012 7:06:32 AM PDT by CA Conservative (Texan by birth, Californian by circumstance)
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To: SoftwareEngineer
What a disaster
With all the lies about Libya and the economy in the toilet Obama should be getting massacred should

Nothing will wake up the idiots that voted for him in 08
33 posted on 10/25/2012 7:06:50 AM PDT by uncbob
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To: xzins
Rush says that Gallup and others ran 7+ Romney numbers just so the Obama campaign could claim a surge after the final debate.

Yep Gallup was successfully intimidated by Axelrod
34 posted on 10/25/2012 7:10:09 AM PDT by uncbob
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To: libh8er

There was no debate bounce. You need to see the internals. Today’s crosstabs improved for Romney (w Indies, Gender, RT/WT, etc).

See my post above. And the sample went from D+3 to D+4 according to @numbersmuncher.


35 posted on 10/25/2012 7:11:14 AM PDT by nhwingut (Single Issue Voter: Obama Must Go!)
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To: LS; nhwingut; Perdogg; tatown; Ravi; InterceptPoint; jrg

Here is the commentary from Scott. He posted late today.

No spoilers in his commentary today (unlike yesterday, when he told us that the President had a good polling day on Tuesday)

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll


36 posted on 10/25/2012 7:11:50 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: CA Conservative

I agree - don’t pay attention to the top number.

The internals are so bad for Obama I’ll be surprised if its a squeaker on Election Day.

This could well turn out to be 1980. People were surprised at the magnitude of the first Reagan win because the polls showed it to be a dead heat right up to Election Day.

I don’t think it will be close at all.


37 posted on 10/25/2012 7:12:50 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Ah okay. I thought O was at 48 yesterday.

At least Romney is still at 50%! And not 49% like we thought would happen today.


38 posted on 10/25/2012 7:13:33 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: The Hound Passer

I agree that the national polls give general information. And if Romney trends upward in these polls, that is certainly newsworthy and encouraging. However, it’s all about the state polls at this point. Ohio, Iowa, Colorado, Florida, PA, Virginia, NC, Nevada, Wisconsin, NH and Michigan. This is where the race is.

Romney has advantage in these states: Colorado, Florida, Virginia, NC
Obama has advantage is these states: Ohio, Iowa, PA, Nevada, Wisc, Mich
Toss up: NH

So, GOTV is what it comes down to now. The campaign that gets their voters to the polls in these close states—wins. Hands down. So, volunteer, drive people to the polls, take friends and neighbors with you. It matters.


39 posted on 10/25/2012 7:15:10 AM PDT by Suntracker
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To: libh8er

There wasn’t though. You spread misery in every thread. Stop. Read the thread. The internals and Rasmussen’s comments tell you what you need to know about this poll. No debate bounce.


40 posted on 10/25/2012 7:17:48 AM PDT by snarkytart
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