Posted on 10/25/2012 6:36:14 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 50% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. Two percent (2%) prefers some other candidate,...
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However, the internals today shifted in favor of Gov. Romney. His lead with Independents went back up to 13 and the Presidential Approval Index is back down to -12%
Also, overall only 49% approve or somewhat approve of the President's performance
So, solid, if unspectacular numbers for Gov Romney. The trend seems to be our friend here, to use an overused cliche, and Gov Romney is at the 50% mark for the third day in a row
Some of these numbers are internal numbers and thus will not be available on the link above.
A president at 47% (there it is again) with 12 days to go is in serious trouble. And a challenger at 50% (in both Gallup and Rasmussen) for almost a week now is looking really good.
Romney now leads Indies 52/39 (13 points). Romney is +7 on gender gap (+11 w men, only -4 w woman). Obama is -21 in Strong Index Approval w Indies (20/41). And the Right Track/Wrong Track for “Other” (Asian/Hispanic) is back up to -21 (33-54). It had been oddly trending to almost even at 43/44.
These are real bad numbers for an incumbent, 12 days out.
Looking at it historically, never has a challenger been at 50% this late in the game (with such solid internals, not soft support) and gone on to lose. Overall, Romney is looking even better today than yesterday despite Obama moving up a point. Off to work, chat later (Gallup at 1pm, ABC/WaPo at 5pm).
Steady as she goes today
Looks like the trend is cementing going into the final week.
Senate number in ND and NV looking good.
What do you make of Mandel running behind a bit in Ohio?
Relation b/w the presidential campaign and the Senate campaign? Are there really going to be vote splitters there, voting for Brown and Romney? That strikes me as unlikely...then again....that would sort of be typical for an idiot independent.
O~H~I~O
We’re coming up on the last weekend in October and O’s numbers haven’t moved at all and Romney remains at 50% - there is no reason to believe those will change in the future.
This race is stable and no one in the lead into the last weekend of October has ever lost in November.
Swing State sneak peek for today: R:50 O:46
The Governor is ahead 10 with independents in the Swing State Daily but behind 3 with women.
Tatown will publish the official thread when the numbers go public
Maybe the ultimate answer is 47 and and the printer erred. Douglas Adams then just went with it.
The “gender gap” isn’t worth mentioning. It won’t make a difference this year and O is losing is very badly among white men.
Without them, he can’t win.
number guy on twitter said that Ras has changed to D+4 in this sample. Not sure why Ras did that. He has been consistent at d+3.
Today the approval index is -12, what was it yesterday?
Is Romney going to win populous states like California, New York and Illinois? I think your theory is bogus.
Depends.
If the Governor wins by more than 2 points in the popular vote, OH, WI and IA will all go for him
However, there is a case to be made where the Gov could win a small popular vote victory (let us say 1%) and potentially lose the EV
NHWingut and Ravi have done some analysis on it. Check out their posts on why a popular vote victory over 1 or 2% will guarantee an EV victory
ideally I would like to see the left crushed in a seizmic loss of global proportions. A loss so large that commie unionista bosses emigrate out of self preservation.
A loss so large that CNN MSNBC CBS ABC NBC FNC go through a purge of leftists
A loss so large that sponsors create a litmus test of conservatism that passes so deep as to enter the ghetto of the network show selection.
A loss so massive and epic that NYC effetes are forced out of NYC.
A losss so extensive and widespread that left leaning politicians have their careers ended permanenetly. Blloomber, schultz, pelosi, reid, clinton, clinton, upcomming clinton, powell, OVER.
A losss so epic that third party groups become extinct due to fear of being associated with them. (ABA, AARP, acorn variations...)
It was -9 yesterday, which was quite a fall from -16 the day before
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