As of the 23rd about 10% of Ohio registered voters had voted.
2 explanations:
1. Only 65-70% of registered voters are going to vote, so that 10% of registered is almost 14% of all who will vote.
2. I presume the 10% are voted the BOE's have received and don't count those that are being mailed in (the votes in the mail)
Plus the margin of error
So, those aren't that off.
Thanks was thinking a registered, not likely voter, poll.
It’s high but reasonable.