Call me crazy - but I’m saying it’s possible. Despite the color on all of the EV maps, CA is not as solid for the Big 0 as everybody thinks.
No, you're crazy like a fox.
On the way home today I looked at all the commuter traffic and thought, every one of those cars contains a driver with a job dearly held onto, and gas dearly bought, and necessities barely afforded. These are grim people, serious and purposeful people, and none of their cars carried bumper stickers -- not for BO, not for Romney or anyone else. If they were BO voters, they'd have stickers.
Even the people voicing support (such as it is) are more hesitant about BO. I saw one BO sign in a roll-down window, but on a window (taped inside to the window) the sign is less vulnerable but is also more easily removed.
Look in the SF East Bay Area and tell me what it is you see. Any cars with presidential bumper stickers (they are rare) are more likely to proudly sport old Kerry/Edwards or Dennis Kucinich bumper stickers than they are BO stickers.
And what of BO yard signs? There are none. I saw two in Oakland, and the one I saw in Berkeley was in a window, posted by a renter not an owner, likely a clueless college student.
BO's people have no idea (or perhaps they do) how angry Californians are.
Beware the silent majority. Nixon knew of them. Do they?
Morris said tonight, there are 4 PA polls that he has seen that have Romney up (by 3 i think). 2 public, which we have seen. and 2 private.
He said he polled MI last weekend and it was a dead heat (44/45 - forget whether O/R was up 1). Also new Fox poll out of MI has it tied.
Polling is one of the things Morris made a living on, so I suspect he knows a lot more than we do.
Polling is just one tool the campaigns have now to grasp the state of things and develop their strategies from. Tons of early voting and absentee voting, which we didn’t have 8 year ago.
Also, what do you sense as the state of the race? Not who you want to win, but who looks like they are winning. What are the fundamental issues of the election? This all points to a Romney win. I wanted McCain/Palin to win. But by mid-October, I knew Obama was going to win. The crowds, the way the campaign was acting and reacting. Right now, Romney is drawing HUGE crowds. A lot of late donations. Romeny doing big picture stuff (did you see Ryan’s poverty speech today? excellent) Romney doing a major economic speech Friday in Iowa.
What is Obama doing? Talking about small issues. Flying around all night in a gimmicky GOTV effort. Romney is calm and self assured. Obama flailing around, throwing stuff at the wall.
Have faith my friends. I really don’t think this will be a razor thin Romney win. 52/47 Romney and 300+ EVs.
Interesting observations.
For ten years or so I spent about half my time in the Bay Area (the rest near Austin).
I never quite could figure out why Silicon Valley went so big for a marxist. Clinton, that at least made some sense. But Obama? Why?