Yeah, winning by 8 points seems a bit glib. I definitely see Romney winning with ~52% of the vote.
Morris offered a range of seats we’d pick up in 2010 and his low end guess was right on the money. He was slightly more optimistic than the top pollsters, and his prediction was true. Assuming no major game changers the next two weeks, I am guessing his low end will be just about accurate. A 52-48 or 51-48 is about what I expect.
I’d be quite happy if we got it by that margin.