I’ll venture a guess that the polls are factoring in the longer electoral history of WI, weighting in favor of the Dems who’ve won most presidential elections n WI.
But a recall or off year election cannot be compared to a presidential election. Turnout for a presidential is probably at least twice that of an off year election. I don’t know what the turnout was for the recall, but imagine it was nowhere near the level of a presidential election.
So, even if every person who voted for Scott Walker votes for Romney, as will likely be pretty much the case, there remains a large segment of voters who didn’t participate in that recall election who will be voting in the presidential. Based on WI’s electgoral history, the majority of those voters would vote for Obama.
Why do I feel Romney will win Wisconsin?
For starters, at the peak of the hateful protests, the Wisconsin Democrats were unable to win control of the Supreme court with conservative Justice Prosser defeating the liberal Kloppenburg. This was their big chance to control the Supreme Court and have it rule against all of Governor Walker’s anti public union legislation. They failed.
Next step was to recall Governor Walker. While they succeeded in forcing a recall election, they lost and lost badly.
How does this relate to Romney winning? Simple....
Not all of the people in the public unions are moon-bat liberals, while they may have voted against Prosser and Walker in their own financial best interest, they will not automatically vote for Obama.
The biggest point is that Obama promised during his election campaign that he would stand side by side with the unions and would be there marching with them in support. He failed to keep his word, never showing up to support them. Even the national Democratic party ignored requests for more money to spend on the recall election. The liberals and the unions felt abandoned by Obama.
Obama did not do as he had promised them. So there should be little enthusiasm to vote for the liar in chief. It is their turn to abandon Obama.
OBAMA LIED AND THE WISCONSIN PUBLIC UNIONS DIED.