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To: SeekAndFind
"Somebody explain to me how such a methodology is better and more accurate than the others."

Check their record for the last 60 years or so. Their final polls have been pretty close in nearly every election. They had 49-48 for Ford in 1976 which went 50.1-48.1 for Carter. That's the worst they've been. They've rarely overestimated the GOP candidate.

35 posted on 10/22/2012 10:37:27 AM PDT by CatOwner
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To: CatOwner
FROM GALLUP's OWN WEBSITE :


Election Year Presidential Preferences: Gallup Poll Accuracy Record
1936 - 2008

Year Nominees Final Poll Election Results Deviation
2008 Barack Obama 55 52.6  -2
John McCain 44 46.0 +2
2004 George W. Bush 49 50.7  -2
John F. Kerry 49 48.3 +1
2000 George W. Bush 48 47.9   0
Albert Gore, Jr. 46 48.4  -2
Ralph Nader 4   2.7 +1
1996 William J. Clinton 52 49.2 +3
Robert Dole 41 40.7  0
H. Ross Perot 7   8.4 -1
1992 William J. Clinton 49 43.0 +6
George Bush 37 37.4   0
H. Ross Perot 14 18.9 -5
1988 George Bush 56 53.4 +3
Michael Dukakis 44 45.6  -2
1984 Ronald Reagan 59 58.8  0
Walter F. Mondale 41 40.6  0
1980 Ronald Reagan 47 50.7  -4
Jimmy Carter 44 41.0 +3
John Anderson 8   6.6 +1
1976 Jimmy Carter 48 50.1  -2
Gerald Ford 49 48.0 +1
1972 Richard Nixon 62 60.7 +1
George McGovern 38 37.5   0
1968 Richard Nixon 43 43.4   0
Hubert H. Humphrey 42 42.7  -1
George Wallace 15 13.5 +1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson 64 61.1 +3
Barry Goldwater 36 38.5  -3
1960 John F. Kennedy 51 49.7 +1
Richard Nixon 49 49.5  -1
1956 Dwight Eisenhower 59.5 57.4 +2
Adlai Stevenson 40.5 42.0  -2
1952 Dwight Eisenhower 51 55.1  -4
Adlai Stevenson 49 44.4 +5
1948 Harry S. Truman 44.5 49.5  -5
Thomas E. Dewey 49.5 45.1  -4
Strom Thurmond 4   2.4 +2
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt 51.5 53.4  -2
Thomas E. Dewey 48.5 45.9 +3
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt 52 54.7  -3
Wendell L. Willkie 48 44.8 +3
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt 55.7 60.8  -5
Alfred M. Landon 44.3 36.5 +8


43 posted on 10/22/2012 10:45:50 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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