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To: KansasGirl
"What was Sabato’s reasoning for saying Gallup is completely wrong?"

There really wasn't any, other than saying that such a split was laughable. A glance at some of his tweets reveals that he doesn't know WHY that could be, only that it's his personal feeling that millions don't shift their votes so easily. What he is missing is the fact that, up until very recently, the polls were designed to INFLUENCE opinion, not reflect it.

33 posted on 10/22/2012 9:46:00 AM PDT by CatherineofAragon (Don't be afraid to see what you see. (Ronald Reagan))
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To: CatherineofAragon

He’s wrong. All the other polls are in line with Gallup. If Romney wins independents by around 10 pts as all the polls are showing, he wins by the popular vote by 7-10 pts. Sabato is a Dem hack and is in denial.


34 posted on 10/22/2012 9:49:16 AM PDT by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obama)
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To: CatherineofAragon

I think that modern media technology has been changing things year after year. Public opinion can now shift in large numbers more rapidly than it ever has before. Word-of-mouth travels faster and more widely than ever before.

This effect is what helped Romney turn the race around since the debates started. As we enter the 2-week post-debate period, this effect can be used against him. He’s not out of the woods yet.


53 posted on 10/22/2012 11:01:26 AM PDT by JediJones (ROMNEY/RYAN: TURNAROUND ARTISTS ***** OBAMA/BIDEN: BULL $HIT ARTISTS)
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