Posted on 10/21/2012 7:08:01 PM PDT by cdchik123
Democrats will go into Election Day with a 90,000 voter registration advantage in Nevada, a smaller edge than in 2008 when Barack Obama carried the state.
At the close of voter registration this week in the Mountain West swing state, there were 526,986 Democrats and 436,799 Republicans — a difference of 90,187 active voters.
In 2008, at the close of registration, Democrats held a statewide advantage of 100,723 voters.
While the statewide gap between the parties has closed slightly since 2008 — a year when Democratic registration surged in Nevada and Obama carried the state by 121,000 votes — the real growth was among independents. The number of nonpartisan registrations across the state grew by 36,000 since 2008.
That spike in independents is a prominent feature of the 2012 swing state map.
According to an August report from the centrist Democratic think tank Third Way, Colorado, Nevada and North Carolina posted double-digit percentage gains in the number of independent voters since the last presidential election.
It’s not the # of Ds and Rs that matters but what % of each vote. Early voting looking good, but tenuous.
It sounds like the citizens of Nevada are bent on self-destructing.
Romney is going to win NV.
As elsewhere in the country, its the independents, stupid.
That’s what happens when CA is allowed to go to the dogs (er, jackasses).
It can afford to offload lots of libs on neighboring states. Same as what MA has done to NH.
I agree. Romney will win a higher percentage of Democrats than Obama will win of registered Republicans. Romney will also win a much higher percentage of independents than Obama I’ll guess Romney wins 55-60% of them. I Look for Romney to win Nevada by about the same absolute number of votes as Bush in ‘00 and in ‘04 (roughly by 20,000 votes). Romney will be well over 270 by the time the nation learns he carried Nevada.
Poll Ping.
Part of the decrease in Rat registration and the increase in the Indies can be attributed to the significant Ron Paul crowd. I don’t think that R&R can count on their vote.
With the Union influence and dirty tactics Nevada will be razor close IMO.
I like what Mark Levin said - the leftists ruin one state - then move to another to ruin it. Like a bunch of locusts.
I remember watching the election night returns on see BS in 2004.
Even when it was clear that George W. Bush had carried Nevada by 20,000 votes, that creep Katie Couric refused to call the state for George W. because it would have put him past 270 electoral college votes. See BS didn’t call Nevada for Bush until the following day after Kerry had finally conceded.
On the news that night, Couric wore black. Obnoxious woman.
I agree that Nevada is going to be close but I think it will ultimately vote for Obama. There is simply too much union influence in Clark Co. to overcome, despite Washoe being a swing county and Romney rolling up 60%+ in the remainder of the state. I think 16 out of 17 counties end up voting Romney but it won’t be enough. I hope I’m wrong. There is some good news. This election there are more registered “R”s in Washoe County than “D”s....by about 2 thousand or so. We had given that lead over to the socialists the last couple of cycles...
The race is over in Nevada. Romney will easily get 55%.
Thoigh mostly conservative, at least on pro-life and against gay marriage, they can and are squishy on some other issues like guns, and many are also union members. That having been said, I just can't see even registered Mormon Democrats voting for Obama over Mitt Romney.
Katiana...welcome to FR!
Do you have anything other than a hunch that R&R will reach 55% in Nevada? I DO like your optimism.
I’ll pick one nit, and say that NV isn’t very squishy on guns. Mayne the Las Vegas police state, but not the state overall.
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