I am in Hillsborough County, one the key counties that will decide Florida. In my community, we have a very active and committed local GOP organization which is really working hard.
My complex has about 350 units, over 800 registered voters. I'm busy knocking on doors, handing out literature,talking to my neighbors most every day.
I'd say that blacks here are about 20% of the residents. It's a middle class community, so you don't have many of the Obamaphone-types here. What I have found is that a good number are not automatic Obama voters. They are willing to listen to me talk about taxes, and government regulation, and even the dangers of Obamacare, and other socailly conservative issues.
In this country as a whole, the good majority of blacks are in the bottom socio-economic class, and these will vote almost 100% for Obama, to the extent that this year they are motivated to vote. Same thing for the upper economic class blacks. They'll probably vote for him with a 95% margin.
But in what we can call the lower-middle class, to middle class black electorate, this group is fertile ground for the GOP. I don't have demographic numbers, but I suspect it might be 25-30% of the total black vote. And I think that more than 50% of that vote can be persuaded to vote GOP....thought not necessarily this election. And a good number of that group who vote for him will do so, despite misgivings, because of racial pride. Otherwise, we could peel away a good number..which would then mean that the GOP could end up with 25% of the total black vote, as opposed to the LESS than 10% that we get now. That would be a huge factor in so many races.
The point being, the GOP has to find a way to appeal to black voters on economic merits, but must target that message to the black lower-middle class...those with aspirations.
Maybe GOP ought not pander to the black liberal like Newt did after the contract with America. Quit talking to black liberal Bastions Like NAACP and Jesse Jackson and support Black conservatives.