In theory a random poll should find the statistical identification. But they aren’t truly random. Too many lifestyle issues interfering, IMHO. R’s either don’t or won’t answer because of cultural proclivities...
Exactly correct. With only 9 out of hundred randomly chosen people responding, the possibility of self selection bias is very large. Conservatives are busy people who distrust polls and the media for good reason.
If true, that conservatives are not as likely to answer polls, that would invalidate the entire theory.
They have to make sure that who they are polling are representative of who is going to vote on election day, otherwise these polls will always be skewed towards Democrats.
Remember, their theory is “Party affiliation follows the way a person is currently inclined to vote and party affiliation doesn’t drive how someone votes.”
Waiting for rush of seeing Drudge headline on this . , , ,