2012 Presidential election Electoral College Predictions: Worst, Likely and Best Case GOP Win
NV will go R this year as well as NH and 1 electoral vote out of ME.
Apart from that, its nearly the same as mine except I think NM will go with the winner.
OH will definitely go R. PA is a long shot but in the event O’s numbers look very weak - it might fall, too.
My take on the popular vote? 54% R 45% D 1% Other. It’ll be an epic GOP landslide win on a magnitude not seen in this country since Bush I ran in 1988.
repost the link please.
I think your link should be http://www.jeffhead.com/2012predict.htm
A close election will bring conspiracy theories and further political and racial division. A landslide will make the Left's talking points both ridiculous and amusing to the average citizen.
Your best-case map still includes OR and ME going for Obama. I could be totally wrong, but I believe that these are two states which could easily go Republican in a wave election. Much of the disillusionment among white Obama voters after four years has come due to his constant racial pandering and divisive tone. I think that a lot of white liberals stay home in November, just as a lot of white Evangelicals did in 2008. If the rural and truly independent vote turns out in those states, they could fall.
A place like my home state of MD is probably hopeless, as demographics and heavy government employment create a very difficult to overcome base of Dem support. Overall, the momentum and the poll internals are showing something exactly like your 'likely' map. Give it a week... and we'll see.